Calculating probability of experiments
Obliczanie prawdopodobieństw zdarzeń losowych
Learning objectives
You will learn to calculate probability using the classical model and probability of two‑stage experiments using the probability tree diagrams.
Learning effect
You calculate probability using the classical model and probability of two‑stage experiments using the probability tree diagrams.
Revise information you already know about probabilityprobability. Do the task, applying methods you already know.
Draw one number from the set of two‑digit numbers made of digits {3, 5, 7}. Write elements of the sample space of elementary events Ω, knowing that digits can be repeated. Calculate the probabilityprobability of drawing a number greater than 55.
Open the interactive illustration that describes the tree diagram methodtree diagram method and watch it carefully.
There are three blue cardboard pieces and two yellow cardboard pieces on the table. Next to them, there are two boxes. In box A, there is one blue piece and in box B, there is one yellow and four blue pieces. If we take a blue piece from the table, we draw from box A, if yellow – from box B. What is the probability of an event A – that we get two pieces in the same colour?
Probability of the event A is 0,38.
After having completed the exercise, present results of your observations and compare them with the following ones:
To calculate the probabilityprobability using the tree diagram methodtree diagram method:
We present outcomes of the experiments using the tree,
We write the probability of choosing each option on each stage of the experimentexperiment on separate branches,
We mark branches favourable to the description of an event,
We calculate the product of probabilities of events from each stages of marked branches,
We calculate the sum of obtained products.
Do Task 1 again, this time using the tree diagram method. Compare obtained results.
Do the exercise using the classical definition of probabilityprobability.
We roll a symmetric, six‑sided dice two times. Calculate the probability of getting a number not smaller than 4 both times.
Do the exercise using the tree diagram method.
We roll a symmetric, six‑sided dice two times. Calculate the probability of getting a number not smaller than 4 both times.
Do the exercise using the tree diagram methodtree diagram method.
There are five blue beads and two golden beads in a sack. We take out two beads and do not put them back. Calculate the probabilityprobability of taking out two beads of the same colour.
Do the exercise using the tree diagram method.
While flipping a non‑symmetric coin, the probability of getting heads is equal to , and tails . Calculate the probability of getting at least one heads in two trials.
An extra task:
There were three times less winning tickets than empty tickets in the box, during the lottery. The probability of getting one winning ticket and one empty ticket is .
To calculate the probabilityprobability using the tree diagram methodtree diagram method:
We present outcomes of the experiments using the tree
We write the probability of choosing each option on each stage of the experimentexperiment on separate branches
We mark branches favourable to the description of an event
We calculate the product of probabilities of events from each stages of marked branches
We calculate the sum of obtained products
Exercises
Decide if the following sentences are true. Możliwe odpowiedzi: 1. The probability of getting two even numbers is equal to ., 2. The probability of getting a sum of drawn numbers greater than 15 is equal to ., 3. The probability of getting a product of drawn numbers less than 5 is equal to .
We draw one number twice (and put it back) from the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8}.
Decide if the following sentences are true.
- The probability of getting two even numbers is equal to .
- The probability of getting a sum of drawn numbers greater than 15 is equal to .
- The probability of getting a product of drawn numbers less than 5 is equal to .
Kasia takes part in a language contest where the questions can be in English or in French. The choice of language is done by drawing lots. If the chosen language is French, then the probability of Kasia winning the price is equal to 0,5 and if it is English, then the probability is equal to 0,9. What is the probability of Kasia winning the price?
From the senior year of high school, 85% of all girl and 95% or all boys declared that they will continue education at universities after their final exams. The number of boys is 60% of all senior students. Draw a tree illustrating this experiment and describe it in English. Calculate the probability of an event where a randomly chosen person from this group decides to continue education at university. Write the answer in English.
Indicate which pairs of expressions or words are translated correctly.
- prawdopodobieństwo - probability
- doświadczenia losowe - experiment
- metoda drzewa - tree diagram method
- doświadczenie dwuetapowe - product of probabilities of events from each stage
- metoda drzewa - two-stage experiment
- doświadczenie dwuetapowe
- the two-stage experiment
- the tree diagram method
- the product of probabilities of evens from each stage
- an experiment
- metoda drzewa
- doświadczenia losowe
- iloczyn prawdopodobieństw zdarzeń z kolejnych etapów
Glossary
doświadczenia losowe
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wymowa w języku angielskim: experiment
prawdopodobieństwo
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wymowa w języku angielskim: probability
iloczyn prawdopodobieństw zdarzeń z kolejnych etapów
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wymowa w języku angielskim: product of probabilities of events from each stage
metoda drzewa
Nagranie dostępne na portalu epodreczniki.pl
wymowa w języku angielskim: tree diagram method
doświadczenie dwuetapowe
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wymowa w języku angielskim: two‑stage experiment
Keywords
experimentexperiment
probabilityprobability
tree diagram methodtree diagram method